Renting vs Buying- Is 4% Appreciation Enough?

Are you still sitting on the fence about buying a Fountain Hills home? Does anyone remember the days when 5% annual appreciation was considered really good?  These days it’s not unusual for  consumers to think anything under 10% as horrible, and reason enough to keep renting. As our market returns to normal it may be helpful for future homeowners, specifically the millennial generation, to visualize where they could be in 5 years with only a 4% appreciation rate. For the following example, a$175,000 purchase with 3% down since it falls in line with where a first-time home buyer might start.

Right Price

Date 1/1/2015 1/1/2016 1/1/2017 1/1/2018 1/1/2019 1/1/2020
Purchase Price  $175,000 Future Value @ 4% Annual Appreciation $182,000 $189,280 $196,851 $204,725 $212,914
3.5% Down Payment  $    6,125 Beginning Loan Balance @ 4% Interest $166,153 $163,069 $159,858 $156,517 $153,039
Loan Amount  $168,875 Net Equity $15,847 $26,211 $36,993 $48,208 $59,875

In these circumstances homeownership gives the borrower a net equity of almost $60,000 after 5 years. Not bad compared with renting a property for the same 5 years. We assumed that the seller paid all the closing costs (which is quite a reasonable assumption these days).

The secret ingredient is leverage. The borrower puts only 3% down but gets to keep 100% of the appreciation. With interest rates as low as they are today, the millennial generation will probably want to kick itself in ten years time for the missed opportunity today.

Even if you didn’t get any appreciation over the years the borrower gets net equity of $22,000 after 5 years, because a chunk of the monthly check goes to pay down the outstanding loan balance. However property taxes and maintenance will eat into that.

Realistically, 4% appreciation is over twice as high as inflation and a very satisfactory rate for the realistic homeowner.

Source:© 2014 Cromford Associates LLC

Are you considering buying a home in Fountain Hills? I live and work in this beautiful town , contact me anytime with any questions via email or at 480 888 6708. No Pressure, No Sales Pitch, Just Expert Real Estate Advice!

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